{"id":5593,"date":"2026-06-05T15:34:06","date_gmt":"2026-06-05T18:34:06","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/grupogpps.org\/?p=5593"},"modified":"2026-06-05T15:34:07","modified_gmt":"2026-06-05T18:34:07","slug":"el-mercosur-y-el-desafio-de-negociar-puede-integrarse-al-club-comercial-del-pacifico","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/grupogpps.org\/pt\/el-mercosur-y-el-desafio-de-negociar-puede-integrarse-al-club-comercial-del-pacifico\/","title":{"rendered":"Mercosul e o desafio da negocia\u00e7\u00e3o: pode integrar-se ao clube comercial do Pac\u00edfico?"},"content":{"rendered":"

Existem maneiras de explorar a integra\u00e7\u00e3o e aproveitar seus benef\u00edcios.<\/em><\/h3>\n\n\n\n

The axis of the global economy no longer runs through the Atlantic. For years, the Asia-Pacific region has concentrated most of the global growth, foreign investment, and demand for food, energy, and critical minerals. However, Mercosur continues to operate in that region without preferential agreements with most of its most dynamic partners: it pays higher tariffs than its direct competitors, faces greater access difficulties, and forgoes opportunities for trade and investment expansion.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Em conjunto com Paloma Ochoa e Marcelo Reg\u00fanaga, elaboramos e publicamos no site do Grupo de Produtores do Cone Sul (GPS) o relat\u00f3rio \u201cMercosul\u2013CPTPP (Acordo Abrangente e Progressivo para a Parceria Transpac\u00edfica): Uma Converg\u00eancia Necess\u00e1ria\u201d, no qual descrevemos esse paradoxo e propomos um roteiro para revert\u00ea-lo. O CPTPP atualmente abrange doze economias \u2014 Austr\u00e1lia, Canad\u00e1, Chile, Jap\u00e3o, M\u00e9xico, Nova Zel\u00e2ndia, Peru, Singapura, Vietn\u00e3, Mal\u00e1sia, Brunei e Reino Unido \u2014 e representa quase 15% do PIB mundial. O diagn\u00f3stico \u00e9 claro: o Mercosul est\u00e1 integrado de fato a essa regi\u00e3o, mas n\u00e3o de jure, o que significa que n\u00e3o pode usufruir dos benef\u00edcios do CPTPP.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Um exportador australiano de carne bovina n\u00e3o paga nada para entrar no Jap\u00e3o; um exportador argentino enfrenta uma tarifa de 38,5%, que, sob o CPTPP, diminui, mas se estabiliza em um piso permanente de 9%. O frango brasileiro enfrenta uma tarifa de 38,75% na Mal\u00e1sia, enquanto seus concorrentes no acordo desfrutam de prefer\u00eancias crescentes. Analisamos oito produtos-chave \u2014 carne bovina, frango, caf\u00e9, soja, farinha, \u00f3leo, trigo e milho \u2014 e a conclus\u00e3o \u00e9 clara: o custo de n\u00e3o pertencer ao CPTPP se traduz em perda de vendas \u2014 ou vendas a pre\u00e7os mais baixos \u2014 e perda de investimentos.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Em 2024, o Mercosul exportou aproximadamente US$ 68 bilh\u00f5es para os membros do CPTPP, resultando em um super\u00e1vit comercial. No entanto, esse resultado foi alcan\u00e7ado apesar das desvantagens tarif\u00e1rias. Se o bloco aderisse ao acordo, a diferen\u00e7a competitiva com a Austr\u00e1lia, Nova Zel\u00e2ndia, Chile e Peru diminuiria, e os volumes de exporta\u00e7\u00e3o poderiam aumentar significativamente.<\/p>\n\n\n

\n
\""El<\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n

\u00abO Mercosul n\u00e3o enfrenta apenas uma decis\u00e3o comercial. \"Enfrenta uma decis\u00e3o estrat\u00e9gica sobre que tipo de actor quer ser na economia global do s\u00e9culo XXI.\"<\/p>\n\n\n\n

O CPTPP tamb\u00e9m \u00e9 uma plataforma de governan\u00e7a de pr\u00f3xima gera\u00e7\u00e3o: com\u00e9rcio digital, investimento, propriedade intelectual, compras p\u00fablicas e normas trabalhistas e ambientais. A converg\u00eancia com essas normas aceleraria a moderniza\u00e7\u00e3o regulat\u00f3ria do bloco, conforme previsto tamb\u00e9m no processo de negocia\u00e7\u00e3o com a Uni\u00e3o Europeia.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ativo<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

O Mercosul possui um raro diferencial: \u00e9 a maior reserva de \u00e1gua e prote\u00edna do planeta, det\u00e9m minerais cr\u00edticos para a transi\u00e7\u00e3o energ\u00e9tica e opera em uma regi\u00e3o livre de conflitos armados. Em um mundo onde a seguran\u00e7a do abastecimento \u00e9 prioridade, pode se posicionar como um fornecedor estrat\u00e9gico confi\u00e1vel. O acesso preferencial aos pa\u00edses do CPTPP permitiria a diversifica\u00e7\u00e3o de mercado e, assim, reduziria a vulnerabilidade gerada pela concentra\u00e7\u00e3o comercial: a China atualmente absorve mais de 30% das exporta\u00e7\u00f5es de alguns membros do bloco.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Propomos tr\u00eas caminhos. O primeiro \u2013 a ades\u00e3o como bloco \u2013 \u00e9 o horizonte desej\u00e1vel, mas hoje improv\u00e1vel, dado que exige um acordo sobre as estrat\u00e9gias de inser\u00e7\u00e3o comercial do bloco que as diverg\u00eancias entre Argentina e Brasil n\u00e3o garantem. A segunda \u2013 ades\u00e3o individual com coordena\u00e7\u00e3o, o caminho que o Uruguai j\u00e1 explorou \u2013 \u00e9 vi\u00e1vel com mecanismos expl\u00edcitos, mas arriscada sem eles. O terceiro, e mais realista a curto prazo, \u00e9 um acordo-quadro para a aproxima\u00e7\u00e3o gradual na facilita\u00e7\u00e3o do com\u00e9rcio, nas normas de sa\u00fade, no com\u00e9rcio digital e nos investimentos, o que reduziria a lacuna regulamentar e criaria condi\u00e7\u00f5es para o progresso; Este \u00e9 um caminho que muitas economias do Pac\u00edfico seguiram at\u00e9 chegarem a acordos comerciais abrangentes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Mercosur does not only face a commercial decision. It faces a strategic decision about what kind of player it wants to be in the 21st century global economy. It has the assets, the negotiating history and the markets that demand it. What has been missing is a common vision capable of transcending electoral cycles and the false illusions of protectionism.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

O contexto atual \u2014 um mundo que exige o que o bloco produz, uma arquitetura regional em expans\u00e3o e experi\u00eancia acumulada em negocia\u00e7\u00f5es \u2014 raramente se apresenta com essa intensidade. N\u00e3o aproveitar essa oportunidade n\u00e3o seria apenas um erro de pol\u00edtica comercial: seria mais uma oportunidade hist\u00f3rica perdida.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Nelson Illescas \u00e9 coautor, juntamente com Paloma Ochoa e Marcelo Reg\u00fanaga, do relat\u00f3rio \u201cMercosul\u2013CPTPP: uma converg\u00eancia necess\u00e1ria\u201d (GPS, maio de 2026).<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Por Nelson Illescas<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Veja o artigo original em La Naci\u00f3n<\/a>. <\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Hay caminos para explorar la integraci\u00f3n y aprovechar ventajas. El eje de la\u00a0econom\u00eda\u00a0mundial ya no pasa por el\u00a0Atl\u00e1ntico.\u00a0Hace a\u00f1os que el\u00a0Asia-Pac\u00edfico\u00a0concentra la mayor parte del crecimiento global, la inversi\u00f3n extranjera y la demanda de alimentos, energ\u00eda y minerales cr\u00edticos. Sin embargo, el\u00a0Mercosur\u00a0sigue operando en esa regi\u00f3n sin acuerdos preferenciales con la mayor\u00eda de sus socios […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":5594,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[24,25,23,27],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-5593","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-gps-en-los-medios","category-home","category-novedades","category-publicaciones-home"],"yoast_head":"\nEl Mercosur y el desaf\u00edo de negociar: \u00bfpuede integrarse al club comercial del Pac\u00edfico? - GPS<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/grupogpps.org\/pt\/el-mercosur-y-el-desafio-de-negociar-puede-integrarse-al-club-comercial-del-pacifico\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"pt_BR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"El Mercosur y el desaf\u00edo de negociar: \u00bfpuede integrarse al club comercial del Pac\u00edfico? - GPS\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Hay caminos para explorar la integraci\u00f3n y aprovechar ventajas. 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